{"id":29405,"date":"2026-10-12T10:00:08","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T10:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vantys.es\/?p=29405"},"modified":"2026-10-12T10:02:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T10:02:09","slug":"real-state-market-september-2026-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vantys.es\/en\/2026\/10\/12\/real-state-market-september-2026-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Real state market: October 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volume slows, value holds: the residential market in October 2026<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>By Vantys Group \u2014 The value behind every wall<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>Spanish property market<\/strong> has reached a curious point: demand is still there, but fewer and fewer households can afford it. Prices remain at record highs, sales have fallen for the seventh month in a row and the Euribor is rising again. On top of that, October has begun with a regulatory vacuum and a general election called for the end of November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every month, <strong>Vantys Group<\/strong> analyses the data that really matters to anyone looking to <strong>buy, sell or invest on the Costa del Sol<\/strong>. Here is what the market is telling us in October 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">An affordability ceiling before a demand ceiling<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After easing in late 2025, the <strong>12-month Euribor<\/strong> has risen again, standing at <strong>3.30%<\/strong> in early October, its highest level since August 2024. September inflation (CPI) jumped to <strong>+4.9%<\/strong>, the highest figure since February 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Globally, the OECD and UBS estimate that a skilled worker has lost a third of their property purchasing power compared with 2021. The picture in Spain is similar: prices keep climbing, but sales, mortgages and households&#8217; ability to borrow are starting to contract. The market appears to be hitting its <strong>affordability limit before its demand limit<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">July&#8217;s figures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to Spain&#8217;s General Council of Notaries:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Average price:<\/strong> \u20ac2,110\/m\u00b2 (+7.7% year-on-year)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Apartments:<\/strong> \u20ac2,550\/m\u00b2, a new all-time high (+12.5%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Transactions:<\/strong> -11.1% year-on-year, the seventh consecutive drop (65,400 homes)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Andalusia<\/strong>, the region with the most sales in Spain: 12,800 in July, 20% of the national total<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>56%<\/strong> of purchases were financed with a mortgage, with an average loan of <strong>\u20ac183,600<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">M\u00e1laga breaks the \u20ac3,000\/m\u00b2 barrier<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The regional average hides very different realities. According to the appraised value published by the Ministry of Housing, the benchmark used by banks, <strong>M\u00e1laga has exceeded \u20ac3,000\/m\u00b2 for the first time: \u20ac3,083.5<\/strong>, up <strong>13.8%<\/strong> on a year ago. It is the most expensive province in Andalusia and costs 3.4 times more than Ja\u00e9n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some facts that confirm what we see every day in our work:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Marbella<\/strong> is the second most exclusive location in Europe for a luxury seafront home, according to Engel &amp; V\u00f6lkers. Only Saint-Jean-Cap-Ferrat ranks higher, with Marbella ahead of Saint-Tropez, Mallorca and Ibiza<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ilanga Capital and Goldman Sachs<\/strong> will invest \u20ac260 million in Marbella in a hotel complex with branded residences<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Foreign buyers<\/strong> accounted for 15% of purchases in Andalusia in the first half of the year (10,280 homes). In M\u00e1laga, one in four people looking to rent is searching from abroad<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Andalusia will cut <strong>property transfer tax (ITP) from 7% to 6.75% in 2027<\/strong>, with the aim of reaching 6% by 2030<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The legislative vacuum<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">September was a turning point. Following a wave of housing protests, the Government approved two emergency decree-laws. They included suspending evictions of vulnerable tenants until 2030, automatic extension of rental contracts, regulation of temporary and room rentals, and 10% VAT on holiday lets. Parliament rejected both decrees on 2 October, and the Government has called a general election for the end of November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, the Partido Popular (PP) has put forward its alternative: one million homes in four years, the removal of designated rent-stressed areas, public guarantees for young buyers and tax cuts on purchases. In the meantime, owners and investors face <strong>two months of regulatory uncertainty<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2027: lasting pressure, not a correction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BBVA Research forecasts price growth of <strong>+5.7% in 2027<\/strong>, roughly half this year&#8217;s rate. The underlying problem remains the same: Spain brings around 95,000 new homes to market each year, while some 240,000 new households are formed. The Bank of Spain puts the housing shortfall at around <strong>750,000 homes<\/strong> and warns it could exceed one million by 2028.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Energy efficiency<\/strong> is also weighing more and more on price. Homes rated A or B sell on average for 15% more and twice as fast. Yet 94% of Spain&#8217;s housing stock has an energy certificate between D and G.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Vantys view<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The headlines talk about a market that is slowing down. The reality is more nuanced: <strong>volume is slowing, value is not<\/strong>. On the Costa del Sol, M\u00e1laga has crossed \u20ac3,000\/m\u00b2, Marbella is measured against the C\u00f4te d&#8217;Azur and international capital keeps arriving. At the same time, local buyers feel every rise in the Euribor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For sellers, the message is clear. Prices remain well supported, but solvent buyers are more selective and no longer pay any figure asked. <strong>A well-valued, well-presented home sells; an overpriced one stays on the portal.<\/strong> For rental investors, the regulatory vacuum until the election calls for caution and well-structured contracts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our job at <strong>Vantys Group<\/strong> is not to repeat the headline. It is to translate it into what it means for your specific decision, on your street and at your moment. That is what lies behind every wall we analyse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Download the Vantys Residential Market Report<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you would like to dig deeper into the data, you can read our <strong>Residential Market Report \u2013 October 2026<\/strong>, covering price and transaction trends, the specific situation in M\u00e1laga, the regulatory context and the outlook for 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-fe48e5de wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-white-color has-black-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/vantys.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Vantys_Market_Report_October_2026.docx.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Download the full report<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>If you are weighing up your next property move on the Costa del Sol, let&#8217;s talk: knowing the ground makes all the difference.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83d\udcde +34 687 948 012 \u00b7 \u2709\ufe0f info@vantys.es \u00b7 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vantys.es\">www.vantys.es<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Report prepared with data available as of October 2026. Sources: General Council of Notaries, Ministry of Housing and Urban Agenda, Bank of Spain, BBVA Research, Property Registry, UBS, OECD, INE (National Statistics Institute), Engel &amp; V\u00f6lkers.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Volume slows, value holds: the residential market in October 2026 By Vantys Group \u2014 The value behind every wall The Spanish property market has reached a curious point: demand is still there, but fewer and fewer households can afford it. Prices remain at record highs, sales have fallen for the seventh month in a row [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29410,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[831,297],"tags":[878,875,874,871,835,883,836,869,872,882,868,870,867,877,866,884,879,880,881],"class_list":["post-29405","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-informes","category-reports","tag-costa-del-sol-properties","tag-costa-del-sol-property-investment","tag-costa-del-sol-property-market","tag-costa-del-sol-real-estate","tag-inmobiliaria-malaga","tag-international-property-buyers","tag-inversion-inmobiliaria","tag-investing-in-costa-del-sol","tag-luxury-property-costa-del-sol","tag-luxury-real-estate-costa-del-sol","tag-malaga-property-market","tag-malaga-real-estate","tag-property-investment-costa-del-sol","tag-property-prices-costa-del-sol","tag-property-prices-malaga","tag-real-estate-investment-spain","tag-spain-property-investment","tag-spain-property-market","tag-spanish-real-estate-market"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Real state market: October 2026 - Vantys Group<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vantys.es\/en\/2026\/10\/12\/real-state-market-september-2026-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Real state market: October 2026 - Vantys Group\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Volume slows, value holds: the residential market in October 2026 By Vantys Group \u2014 The value behind every wall The Spanish property market has reached a curious point: demand is still there, but fewer and fewer households can afford it. 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